Against the Gods

The Remarkable Story of Risk

Author: Peter L. Bernstein

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 0470534532

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 400

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A Business Week, New York Times Business, and USA Today Bestseller "Ambitious and readable . . . an engaging introduction to the oddsmakers, whom Bernstein regards as true humanists helping to release mankind from the choke holds of superstition and fatalism." —The New York Times "An extraordinarily entertaining and informative book." —The Wall Street Journal "A lively panoramic book . . . Against the Gods sets up an ambitious premise and then delivers on it." —Business Week "Deserves to be, and surely will be, widely read." —The Economist "[A] challenging book, one that may change forever the way people think about the world." —Worth "No one else could have written a book of such central importance with so much charm and excitement." —Robert Heilbroner author, The Worldly Philosophers "With his wonderful knowledge of the history and current manifestations of risk, Peter Bernstein brings us Against the Gods. Nothing like it will come out of the financial world this year or ever. I speak carefully: no one should miss it." —John Kenneth Galbraith Professor of Economics Emeritus, Harvard University In this unique exploration of the role of risk in our society, Peter Bernstein argues that the notion of bringing risk under control is one of the central ideas that distinguishes modern times from the distant past. Against the Gods chronicles the remarkable intellectual adventure that liberated humanity from oracles and soothsayers by means of the powerful tools of risk management that are available to us today. "An extremely readable history of risk." —Barron's "Fascinating . . . this challenging volume will help you understand the uncertainties that every investor must face." —Money "A singular achievement." —Times Literary Supplement "There's a growing market for savants who can render the recondite intelligibly-witness Stephen Jay Gould (natural history), Oliver Sacks (disease), Richard Dawkins (heredity), James Gleick (physics), Paul Krugman (economics)-and Bernstein would mingle well in their company." —The Australian


Pascal, Fermat und die Berechnung des Glücks

eine Reise in die Geschichte der Mathematik

Author: Keith J. Devlin

Publisher: C.H.Beck

ISBN: 9783406590993

Category: Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie - Geschichte

Page: 204

View: 1621

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Der Autor stellt die Entstehung der Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung und den damit verbundenen Wandel des menschlichen Alltagslebens dar.

Wider die Götter

Die Geschichte der modernen Risikogesellschaft

Author: Peter L. Bernstein

Publisher: Murmann Publishers GmbH

ISBN: 3867745617

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 472

View: 9109

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Der moderne Mensch, ob Politiker, Manager, Anleger, Wissenschaftler oder Glücksritter, steht ununterbrochen vor Alternativen und unter Entscheidungszwängen. Aus früherer Schicksalsgläubigkeit und Gottergebenheit wurde Risikomanagement. Aus Spiel Investition, aus Schicksal Geschicklichkeit. Peter L. Bernstein erzählt die Geschichte der Vision, die Zukunft in den Dienst der Gegenwart stellen zu können.

The Power of Gold

The History of an Obsession

Author: Peter L. Bernstein

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 0470091029

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 304

View: 7834

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Incorporating myth, history and contemporary investigation, Bernstein tells the story of how human beings have become intoxicated, obsessed, enriched, impoverished, humbled and proud for the sake of gold. From the past to the future, Bernstein's portrayal of gold is intimately linked to the character of humankind.


Peter L. Bernstein Classics Collection

Capital Ideas, Against the Gods, The Power of Gold and Capital Ideas Evolving

Author: Peter L. Bernstein

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1118519566

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 1512

View: 3460

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A classic collection of titles from one of the world's greatestfinancial writers One of the foremost financial writers of his generation, thelate Peter Bernstein had the unique ability to synthesizeintellectual history and economics with the theory and practice ofinvestment management. Now, with the Peter L. Bernstein ClassicsCollection e-bundle, you will be able to enjoy some of the mostimportant and critically acclaimed books by this engaginginvestment writer—Capital Ideas, Against the Gods, ThePower of Gold, and Capital Ideas Evolving. Capital Ideas and Capital Ideas Evolving tracesthe origins of modern Wall Street, from the pioneering work ofearly scholars and the development of new theories in risk,valuation, and investment returns, to the actual implementation ofthese theories in the real world of investment management Against the Gods skillfully explores one of the mostprofound issues of our time—the role of risk in oursociety—in a non-technical and accessible style The Power of Gold tells the story of how history's mostcoveted, celebrated, and inglorious asset has inspired romanticmyths, daring explorations, and titanic struggles for money andpower Engaging and informative, Peter L. Bernstein ClassicsCollection puts the insights of one of the greatest financialwriters of our time at your fingertips.

Expectations Investing - Investieren nach Erwartungen

Aktienkurse und Markterwartungen als Basis für Anlageentscheidungen Mit einem Vorwort von Peter L. Bernstein

Author: Alfred Rappaport,Michael J. Mauboussin

Publisher: Wiley-VCH

ISBN: 9783527500352

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 238

View: 7517

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Nur wirklich fundierte Anlageentscheidungen bergen das Potenzial überdurchschnittlicher Gewinne für Investoren. Das gilt besonders in Zeiten, in denen Märkte nicht stürmisch wachsen, sondern in denen sich die Spreu vom Weizen trennt. Hier genügt es nicht, "dabei zu sein", sich an den vergangenen Gewinnen zu orientieren und alles Übrige dem Zufall zu überlassen. Ob ein Unternehmen echten Mehrwert bietet, erweist sich vielmehr erst durch die sorgfältige Analyse seiner Zukunftsaussichten. Rappaport und Mauboussin vermitteln in ihrem Buch das Werkzeug, das Investoren für fundierte Entscheidungen benötigen. Sie kombinieren lang bewährte Konzepte wie z. B. das Modell des diskontierten Cashflows und die porterschen Grundelemente unternehmerischer Wettbewerbsstrategie. Hieraus entsteht ein völlig neuer Ansatz auf der Grundlage erwartungsgeleiteten Investierens. Langwierige Vorausschätzungen der künftigen Cashflows eines Unternehmens sind dabei entbehrlich. Stattdessen richten erwartungsgeleitete Investoren das Augenmerk auf den Aktienkurs und die Informationen, die dieser über die Erwartungen des Marktes im Hinblick auf den Shareholder-Value birgt. In diesem Buch erfahren Investoren, wie sie die Aktienkurse lesen und die Zukunft vorausdenken können. Es versetzt sie in die Lage, früher als andere zu erkennen, wo Verschiebungen der Markterwartungen stattfinden werden, und gibt ihnen damit den Schlüssel zu echten Zusatzgewinnen in die Hand.

Come into my Trading Room

Trading mit der Elder-Methode. Buch und Workbook

Author: Alexander Elder

Publisher: FinanzBuch Verlag

ISBN: 9783898790505

Category:

Page: 185

View: 9716

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Fermats letzter Satz

die abenteuerliche Geschichte eines mathematischen Rätsels

Author: Simon Singh

Publisher: N.A

ISBN: 9783423330527

Category: Fermat's last theorem

Page: 364

View: 2970

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Economist on Wall Street (Peter L. Bernstein's Finance Classics)

Notes on the Sanctity of Gold, the Value of Money, the Security of Investments, and Other Delusions

Author: Peter L. Bernstein

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 9780470435199

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 336

View: 5104

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One of the foremost financial writers of his generation, Peter Bernstein has the unique ability to synthesize intellectual history and economics with the theory and practice of investment management. Now, with classic titles such as Economist on Wall Street, A Primer on Money, Banking, and Gold, and The Price of Prosperity—which have forewords by financial luminaries and new introductions by the author—you can enjoy some of the best of Bernstein in his earlier Wall Street days. Peter Bernstein's Economist on Wall Street is a collection of writings from 1955 to 1970. The book is especially interesting because so many of Bernstein's observations reflect the most important issues of the present—the outlook for inflation and its control, the intricacies of monetary policy, the future of the dollar, and the dilemmas of household finances. Bernstein was also concerned with developments in portfolio management, including the new influence of institutional investors and rules for optimal asset mixes. He provides light touches, too, as he indulges in fantasies and philosophical musings over a wide variety of topics. With so many years of hindsight, we should not be surprised to find some of Bernstein's predictions running awry. But why? In each instance, these forecasts were biased by memories of the past. There is a big lesson to be learned there. Economist on Wall Street is a remarkable book, with lasting relevance and keen insights into the art of investment management, the capital markets, gold and the dollar, and the fun of being alive.

A Primer on Money, Banking, and Gold (Peter L. Bernstein's Finance Classics)

Author: Peter L. Bernstein

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 9780470435205

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 272

View: 6649

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One of the foremost financial writers of his generation, Peter Bernstein has the unique ability to synthesize intellectual history and economics with the theory and practice of investment management. Now, with classic titles such as Economist on Wall Street, A Primer on Money, Banking, and Gold, and The Price of Prosperity—which have forewords by financial luminaries and new introductions by the author—you can enjoy some of the best of Bernstein in his earlier Wall Street days. With the proliferation of financial instruments, new areas of instability, and innovative capital market strategies, many economists and investors have lost sight of the fundamentals of the financial system—its strengths as well as its weaknesses. A Primer on Money, Banking, and Gold takes you back to the beginning and sorts out all the pieces. Peter Bernstein skillfully addresses how and why commercial banks lend and invest, where money comes from, how it moves from hand to hand, and the critical role of interest rates. He explores the Federal Reserve System and the consequences of the Fed's actions on the overall economy. But this book is not just about the past. Bernstein's novel perspective on gold and the dollar is critical for today's decision makers, as he provides extensive views on the future of money, banking, and gold in the world economy. This illuminating story about the heart of our economic system is essential reading at a time when developments in finance are more important than ever.

Wedding of the Waters: The Erie Canal and the Making of a Great Nation

Author: Peter L. Bernstein

Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company

ISBN: 0393340201

Category: History

Page: 464

View: 6802

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"One corner of the great American panorama enlarged to highlight starry-eyed visionaries, political machinations, indefatigable ingenuity, and cockeyed optimism." —Kirkus Reviews The building of the Erie Canal, like the construction of the Brooklyn Bridge and the Panama Canal, is one of the greatest and most riveting stories of American ingenuity. Best-selling author Peter Bernstein presents the story of the canal's construction against the larger tableau of America in the first quarter-century of the 1800s. Examining the social, political, and economic ramifications of this mammoth project, Bernstein demonstrates how the canal's creation helped prevent the dismemberment of the American empire and knit the sinews of the American industrial revolution. Featuring a rich cast of characters, including not only political visionaries like Washington, Jefferson, van Buren, and the architect's most powerful champion, Governor DeWitt Clinton, but also a huge platoon of Irish diggers as well as the canal's first travelers, Wedding of the Waters reveals that the twenty-first-century themes of urbanization, economic growth, and globalization can all be traced to the first great macroengineering venture of American history.

Kleines Handbuch für den Umgang mit Unwissen

Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Publisher: Albrecht Knaus Verlag

ISBN: 364111991X

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 128

View: 3364

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Eine Anleitung zum Nach-, Quer- und Gegendenken »Ich weiß, dass ich nichts wei߫, erkannte bereits Sokrates. Wie wir aber mit dem Unbekannten, mit dem, was wir nicht wissen, faktisch umgehen und idealerweise umgehen sollten, das beschreibt der Risikoforscher und Essayist Nassim Nicholas Taleb in seinem Handbuch. Er enthüllt die Begrenztheiten unserer Datenverliebtheit genauso wie die folgenschweren Irrtümer und Voreingenommenheiten unseres Denkens. So zeigt er, wie uns Denkfehler, falsche Kategorien und blinde Flecken immer wieder in die Irre führen – und wie wir mit Unwissen gewinnbringend umgehen können. Denn: »Für den einen ist ein Irrtum bloß ein Irrtum, für den anderen ist er eine Information.«

Controls, Procedures, and Risk

Author: David Loader

Publisher: Butterworth-Heinemann

ISBN: 9780750654869

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 168

View: 2188

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'Controls, Procedures and Risk' covers the skills and procedures needed to enable the monitoring and managing of risk and the authors focus on procedures design, implementation and documentation. Considerable emphasis is also given to the key controls and the importance of control functions, audit and risk management groups and policy. Case studies are used to effectively demonstrate 'success' and 'failure'. In the financial services industry risk is a constant threat to organizations of all sizes and to the markets themselves. Many industry 'events' have shown how dangerous it is when a business operates in an uncontrolled way, particularly when the lack of control was not evident to the management of the business until it was too late. Controls, procedures and risk are occupying more and more management time. The responsibility to manage the risks lies with the whole operations team. If it is successful in fulfilling this role the overall risk of the business is reduced, if it is not successful the consequences may be severe. In this book the author has deliberately focussed on the practical side of risk, controls and procedures, rather than analyse the Basel Capital Accord and the capital requirements etc.(however, the Accord and updates are contained in the Appendices). Operations teams need to be aware of risk but not overwhelmed by it. Risk management within, and by, the operations function is the focus of this book. From day-to-day risk to wider risk implications the operations function is reviewed to show the sources and implications of risk situations. The definitive series of professional references for those finance professionals concerned with "Back office" or operations management unique to this industry.Presents concise references on the essential management functions such as technology, client services, and risk management for financial operations management professionals.A comprehensive resource from a leading financial management consultant for global banks and institutions.

The Price of Prosperity

A Realistic Appraisal of the Future of Our National Economy (Peter L. Bernstein's Finance Classics)

Author: Peter L. Bernstein

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 0470435216

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 176

View: 6886

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One of the foremost financial writers of his generation, Peter Bernstein has the unique ability to synthesize intellectual history and economics with the theory and practice of investment management. Now, with classic titles such as Economist on Wall Street, A Primer on Money, Banking, and Gold, and The Price of Prosperity?which have forewords by financial luminaries and new introductions by the author?you can enjoy some of the best of Bernstein in his earlier Wall Street days. First published in 1962, The Price of Prosperity speaks to today's uncertainties as clearly as to those of the past. With chapters like "The Burden of Government" and "The Economics of Democracy," Bernstein probes the future of an economy during rapidly changing times and the appropriate role of government in determining the ultimate outcome. The questions have not changed over time, but Bernstein's answers help us understand these issues from today's perspective. How much government control is too much control? How much can government spend? How can government influence the level of unemployment? As Bernstein shows how to navigate an ever-changing economic landscape, his timeless insights throughout these pages make The Price of Prosperity as vital and important today as when it appeared in an environment fundamentally different from our own.

Tame, Messy and Wicked Risk Leadership

Author: Mr David Hancock

Publisher: Gower Publishing, Ltd.

ISBN: 1409458903

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 114

View: 2611

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The general perception amongst most project and risk managers that we can somehow control the future is, says David Hancock, one of the most ill-conceived in risk management. The biggest problem is how to measure risks in terms of their potential likelihood, their possible consequences, their correlation and the public's perception of them. The situation is further complicated by identifying different categories of problem types; Tame problems (straight-forward simple linear causal relationships and can be solved by analytical methods), and 'messes' which have high levels of system complexity and have interrelated or interdependent problems needing to be considered holistically. However, when an overriding social theory or social ethic is not shared the project or risk manager also faces 'wickedness'. Wicked problems are characterised by high levels of behavioural complexity, but what confuses real decision-making is that behavioural and dynamic complexities co-exist and interact in what is known as wicked messes. Tame, Messy and Wicked Risk Leadership will help professionals understand the limitations of the present project and risk management techniques. It introduces the concepts of societal benefit and behavioural risk, and illustrates why project risk has followed a particular path, developing from the basis of engineering, science and mathematics. David Hancock argues for, and offers, complimentary models from the worlds of sociology, philosophy and politics to be added to the risk toolbox, and provides a framework to understand which particular type of problem (tame, messy, wicked or messy and wicked) may confront you and which tools will provide the greatest potential for successful outcomes. Finally he introduces the concept of 'risk leadership' to aid the professional in delivering projects in a world of uncertainty and ambiguity. Anyone who has experienced the pain and blame of projects faced with overruns of time or money, dissatisfied stakeholders or basic failure, will welcome this imaginative reframing of some aspects of risk management. This is a book that has implications for the risk management processes, culture, and outcomes, of large and complex projects of all kinds.

Medici Effect

What You Can Learn from Elephants and Epidemics

Author: Frans Johansson

Publisher: Harvard Business Press

ISBN: 1422148033

Category: Technology & Engineering

Page: 224

View: 2714

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Why do so many world-changing insights come from people with little or no related experience? Charles Darwin was a geologist when he proposed the theory of evolution. And it was an astronomer who finally explained what happened to the dinosaurs. Frans Johansson’s The Medici Effect shows how breakthrough ideas most often occur when we bring concepts from one field into a new, unfamiliar territory, and offers examples how we can turn the ideas we discover into path-breaking innovations.